Brujas de Salamanca vs Provincial Osorno

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Brujas de Salamanca

Provincial Osorno

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% DRAW 30.0% AWAY 31.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.43 DRAW 29.9% 3.10 AWAY 31.9% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Provincial Osorno

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Brujas de Salamanca Provincial Osorno

Shots 5.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Provincial Osorno, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Brujas de Salamanca Provincial Osorno

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 2.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 6.8

Brujas de Salamanca has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Brujas de Salamanca Provincial Osorno

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Brujas de Salamanca ↑ +0.40 (+18.2%)

Provincial Osorno ↑ +0.02 (+0.5%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.