Lions FC vs Peninsula Power

12 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.9 pp

Lions FC

Peninsula Power

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 57.0% DRAW 21.0% AWAY 22.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.1% 1.78 DRAW 22.5% 4.20 AWAY 24.3% 3.89

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Lions FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 57.0% win probability, compared with 53.1% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Lions FC has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Lions FC Peninsula Power

Shots 17.3 · On target 7.3 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Lions FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Lions FC Peninsula Power

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Lions FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Lions FC Peninsula Power

The combined recent performance profile favours Lions FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Lions FC ↓ -0.02 (-1.1%)

Peninsula Power ↑ +0.64 (+19.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.