CA Quilmes Villa Allende vs General Paz Juniors

06 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

CA Quilmes Villa Allende

General Paz Juniors

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.0% DRAW 27.3% AWAY 60.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 11.6% 8.20 DRAW 26.2% 3.64 AWAY 62.2% 1.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: General Paz Juniors

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Quilmes Villa Allende General Paz Juniors

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 8.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours General Paz Juniors, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Quilmes Villa Allende General Paz Juniors

Shots allowed 6.3 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

CA Quilmes Villa Allende has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Quilmes Villa Allende General Paz Juniors

The combined recent performance profile favours General Paz Juniors.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CA Quilmes Villa Allende ↑ +4.70 (+134.3%)

General Paz Juniors ↓ -0.38 (-19.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.