CS Limpeno vs 29 de Septiembre FBC

06 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

CS Limpeno

29 de Septiembre FBC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 11.7% DRAW 20.0% AWAY 68.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.8% 7.20 DRAW 21.0% 4.41 AWAY 66.2% 1.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CS Limpeno

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CS Limpeno 29 de Septiembre FBC

Shots 9.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours CS Limpeno, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CS Limpeno 29 de Septiembre FBC

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 10.8 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5

29 de Septiembre FBC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CS Limpeno 29 de Septiembre FBC

The combined recent performance profile favours 29 de Septiembre FBC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CS Limpeno ↑ +0.70 (+10.8%)

29 de Septiembre FBC ↑ +0.02 (+1.3%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.