Burkina Faso vs Benin

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.9 pp

Burkina Faso

Benin

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 63.4% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 12.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.5% 1.54 DRAW 24.4% 3.95 AWAY 13.1% 7.35

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Burkina Faso

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Burkina Faso Benin

Shots 7.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Burkina Faso Benin

Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Burkina Faso has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Burkina Faso Benin

The combined recent performance profile favours Burkina Faso.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Burkina Faso ↑ +0.10 (+6.9%)

Benin ↑ +0.28 (+4.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.