Egypt vs Angola

25 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Egypt

Angola

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 66.9% DRAW 22.1% AWAY 11.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.2% 1.38 DRAW 21.2% 4.50 AWAY 9.6% 9.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Angola

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Egypt Angola

Shots 13.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Egypt Angola

Shots allowed 14.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3

Angola has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Egypt Angola

The combined recent performance profile favours Angola.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Egypt ↑ +0.12 (+9.5%)

Angola ↓ -1.18 (-10.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.