Al Hazem vs Al Taawon Buraidah

08 Sep 2026 · 17:55

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Al Hazem

Al Taawon Buraidah

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.3% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 45.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.2% 3.24 DRAW 27.0% 3.50 AWAY 43.8% 2.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Al Taawon Buraidah has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Al Hazem Al Taawon Buraidah

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.0 Shots 15.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Al Taawon Buraidah, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Al Hazem Al Taawon Buraidah

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Al Hazem Al Taawon Buraidah

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Al Hazem ↑ +0.04 (+1.3%)

Al Taawon Buraidah ↑ +0.15 (+7.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.