RB do Norte vs Fast Clube

09 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +2.9 pp

RB do Norte

Fast Clube

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 21.9% DRAW 28.4% AWAY 49.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.4% 3.83 DRAW 28.9% 3.24 AWAY 46.7% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Fast Clube relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.6% win probability, compared with 46.7% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Fast Clube

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

RB do Norte Fast Clube

Shots 3.5 · On target 1.0 Shots 12.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Fast Clube, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

RB do Norte Fast Clube

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 5.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

RB do Norte Fast Clube

The combined recent performance profile favours Fast Clube.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

RB do Norte ↑ +1.13 (+41.9%)

Fast Clube ↓ -0.40 (-16.7%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.