Levante vs Athletic Bilbao

16 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Levante

Athletic Bilbao

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.1% DRAW 27.7% AWAY 43.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.1% 3.47 DRAW 27.7% 3.52 AWAY 44.3% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Levante

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Levante Athletic Bilbao

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.3 Shots 13.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Levante, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Levante Athletic Bilbao

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Levante Athletic Bilbao

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Levante ↑ +0.17 (+5.2%)

Athletic Bilbao ↓ -0.12 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.