Carshalton Ath vs Chertsey Town

07 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Carshalton Ath

Chertsey Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 43.3% DRAW 27.9% AWAY 28.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% 2.35 DRAW 28.1% 3.56 AWAY 29.4% 3.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Carshalton Ath Chertsey Town

Shots 7.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Carshalton Ath Chertsey Town

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.5

Carshalton Ath has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Carshalton Ath Chertsey Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Carshalton Ath ↑ +0.43 (+22.4%)

Chertsey Town ↑ +0.31 (+10.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.