Kettering vs Wellingborough Town

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.4 pp

Kettering

Wellingborough Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.7% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 18.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% 1.73 DRAW 24.5% 3.76 AWAY 22.1% 4.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Kettering clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.7% win probability, compared with 53.3% implied by the market. The 5.4 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Kettering has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kettering Wellingborough Town

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Kettering, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kettering Wellingborough Town

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.8

Kettering has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kettering Wellingborough Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Kettering.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Kettering ↑ +0.07 (+4.0%)

Wellingborough Town ↓ -0.12 (-2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.