Worcester City vs Knowle

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Worcester City

Knowle

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.3% DRAW 22.0% AWAY 19.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 58.5% 1.58 DRAW 22.5% 4.10 AWAY 19.0% 4.86

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Worcester City

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Worcester City Knowle

Shots 5.0 · On target 1.8 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Worcester City, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Worcester City Knowle

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 1.3 · On target allowed 0.8

Knowle has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Worcester City Knowle

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Worcester City ↓ -0.09 (-5.5%)

Knowle ↑ +0.58 (+13.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.