Redditch vs Malvern Town

07 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Redditch

Malvern Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.5% DRAW 22.4% AWAY 23.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.1% 1.75 DRAW 23.1% 4.09 AWAY 22.8% 4.16

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Redditch

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Redditch Malvern Town

Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Redditch, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Redditch Malvern Town

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 3.8

Malvern Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Redditch Malvern Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Redditch ↑ +0.47 (+36.7%)

Malvern Town ↓ -3.09 (-42.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.