Havant and W vs Chippenham Town

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Havant and W

Chippenham Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% DRAW 24.0% AWAY 42.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.1% 2.80 DRAW 24.7% 3.75 AWAY 42.2% 2.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Havant and W

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Havant and W Chippenham Town

Shots 7.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 0.8 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Havant and W, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Havant and W Chippenham Town

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 1.8

Chippenham Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Havant and W Chippenham Town

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Havant and W ↑ +0.50 (+22.7%)

Chippenham Town ↓ -0.55 (-20.0%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.