Box Hill (W) vs Bulleen Lions (W)

11 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Box Hill (W)

Bulleen Lions (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 55.3% DRAW 23.7% AWAY 21.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.0% 1.81 DRAW 24.4% 4.00 AWAY 21.6% 4.52

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Box Hill (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Box Hill (W) Bulleen Lions (W)

Shots 7.0 · On target 3.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Box Hill (W) Bulleen Lions (W)

Shots allowed 2.3 · On target allowed 1.3 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5

Box Hill (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Box Hill (W) Bulleen Lions (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Box Hill (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Box Hill (W) ↑ +0.08 (+4.8%)

Bulleen Lions (W) ↑ +0.92 (+25.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.