MS Jerusalem vs Maccabi Yavne

24 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.9 pp

MS Jerusalem

Maccabi Yavne

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.5% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 27.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.6% 2.10 DRAW 26.9% 3.40 AWAY 29.5% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for MS Jerusalem relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.5% win probability, compared with 43.6% implied by the market. The 2.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: MS Jerusalem

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

MS Jerusalem Maccabi Yavne

Shots 16.3 · On target 7.0 Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours MS Jerusalem, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

MS Jerusalem Maccabi Yavne

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.0

Maccabi Yavne has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

MS Jerusalem Maccabi Yavne

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

MS Jerusalem = (0.0%)

Maccabi Yavne ↑ +0.20 (+6.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.