Maccabi Yavne vs Hapoel Herzliya

18 Sep 2026 · 12:35

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.3 pp

Maccabi Yavne

Hapoel Herzliya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% DRAW 26.5% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 50.9% 1.80 DRAW 26.2% 3.50 AWAY 22.9% 4.01

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Hapoel Herzliya relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 26.2% win probability, compared with 22.9% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Herzliya

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Yavne Hapoel Herzliya

Shots 3.3 · On target 1.8 Shots 13.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Herzliya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Yavne Hapoel Herzliya

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Yavne Hapoel Herzliya

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Herzliya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Yavne = (0.0%)

Hapoel Herzliya ↑ +0.08 (+1.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.