Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Ironi Beit Shemesh

18 Sep 2026 · 12:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Ironi Beit Shemesh

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 32.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.5% 2.50 DRAW 27.8% 3.46 AWAY 33.7% 2.85

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Ironi Beit Shemesh

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Ironi Beit Shemesh

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Ironi Beit Shemesh

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod ↓ -0.64 (-20.4%)

Ironi Beit Shemesh ↑ +0.83 (+41.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.