FC Tzeirey Tamra vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

18 Sep 2026 · 11:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Tzeirey Tamra

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 36.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% 2.60 DRAW 28.8% 3.30 AWAY 34.6% 2.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Shots 2.8 · On target 1.0 Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Tirat Karmel, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 6.3 Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Tzeirey Tamra Hapoel Tirat Karmel

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Tirat Karmel.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FC Tzeirey Tamra ↑ +0.40 (+18.2%)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.