Ironi Nesher vs Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

18 Sep 2026 · 10:50

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.1 pp

Ironi Nesher

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 23.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.4% 1.89 DRAW 26.2% 3.50 AWAY 25.4% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ironi Nesher relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.5% win probability, compared with 48.4% implied by the market. The 3.1 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Performance data unavailable

Recent team performance statistics are not available for this match.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ironi Nesher ↑ +0.19 (+11.3%)

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm ↓ -0.50 (-12.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.