Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Beitar Nahariya

18 Sep 2026 · 13:25

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Beitar Nahariya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.7% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 42.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.2% 3.00 DRAW 27.5% 3.40 AWAY 41.4% 2.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Beitar Nahariya

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Beitar Nahariya

Shots 2.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Beitar Nahariya, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Beitar Nahariya

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 3.5 · On target allowed 1.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Beitar Nahariya

The combined recent performance profile favours Beitar Nahariya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Hapoel Bnei Musmus ↓ -0.03 (-0.8%)

Beitar Nahariya ↑ +0.17 (+8.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.