Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed vs Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

18 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.7% DRAW 28.8% AWAY 46.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.7% 3.89 DRAW 28.4% 3.25 AWAY 47.9% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.3 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 4.3 · On target allowed 1.0

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmed ↓ -0.61 (-13.6%)

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq ↑ +0.31 (+19.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.