Boldmere St Michaels vs Bourne Town

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.5 pp

Boldmere St Michaels

Bourne Town

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 27.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.2% 2.11 DRAW 25.9% 3.52 AWAY 30.9% 2.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Boldmere St Michaels clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 47.7% win probability, compared with 43.2% implied by the market. The 4.5 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Boldmere St Michaels

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Boldmere St Michaels Bourne Town

Shots 11.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 2.3 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Boldmere St Michaels, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Boldmere St Michaels Bourne Town

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

Bourne Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Boldmere St Michaels Bourne Town

The combined recent performance profile favours Boldmere St Michaels.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Boldmere St Michaels ↓ -0.04 (-1.9%)

Bourne Town ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.