Fakenham Town vs Ware

08 Sep 2026 · 20:45

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.9 pp

Fakenham Town

Ware

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% DRAW 22.8% AWAY 37.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% 2.80 DRAW 23.6% 4.07 AWAY 42.1% 2.28

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Fakenham Town clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 39.2% win probability, compared with 34.3% implied by the market. The 4.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Fakenham Town has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Fakenham Town Ware

Shots 14.5 · On target 7.3 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Fakenham Town, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Fakenham Town Ware

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Fakenham Town has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Fakenham Town Ware

The combined recent performance profile favours Fakenham Town.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Fakenham Town ↑ +0.08 (+3.1%)

Ware ↓ -0.01 (-0.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.