Rochedale Rovers U23 vs Moreton City Excelsior U23

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Rochedale Rovers U23

Moreton City Excelsior U23

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.0% DRAW 21.7% AWAY 37.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% 2.31 DRAW 22.8% 4.00 AWAY 37.8% 2.41

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Moreton City Excelsior U23

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rochedale Rovers U23 Moreton City Excelsior U23

Shots 14.3 · On target 7.0 Shots 16.3 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rochedale Rovers U23 Moreton City Excelsior U23

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.5

Rochedale Rovers U23 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rochedale Rovers U23 Moreton City Excelsior U23

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Rochedale Rovers U23 ↑ +0.21 (+10.0%)

Moreton City Excelsior U23 ↓ -0.19 (-7.3%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.