Hiska Nacional vs Chaco FC Pando

07 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Hiska Nacional

Chaco FC Pando

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 74.5% DRAW 15.8% AWAY 9.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.3% 1.25 DRAW 15.9% 5.90 AWAY 8.8% 10.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hiska Nacional

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hiska Nacional Chaco FC Pando

Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5 Shots 0.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Hiska Nacional, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hiska Nacional Chaco FC Pando

Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.5 Shots allowed 1.8 · On target allowed 1.3

Chaco FC Pando has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hiska Nacional Chaco FC Pando

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Hiska Nacional = (0.0%)

Chaco FC Pando ↑ +3.20 (+42.7%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.