Canberra Croatia FC (W) vs Belconnen United (W)

13 Sep 2026 · 08:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Belconnen United (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.4% DRAW 24.2% AWAY 56.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 18.1% 5.30 DRAW 23.9% 4.00 AWAY 58.0% 1.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Canberra Croatia FC (W)

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Canberra Croatia FC (W) Belconnen United (W)

Shots 13.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 7.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Canberra Croatia FC (W) Belconnen United (W)

Shots allowed 2.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.3

Canberra Croatia FC (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Canberra Croatia FC (W) Belconnen United (W)

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Canberra Croatia FC (W) ↑ +0.30 (+6.0%)

Belconnen United (W) ↑ +0.12 (+7.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.