CA Aldosivi vs Atlético Tucumán

21 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

CA Aldosivi

Atlético Tucumán

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 29.5% DRAW 32.9% AWAY 37.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.3% 3.32 DRAW 32.2% 3.03 AWAY 38.5% 2.53

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Aldosivi

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Aldosivi Atlético Tucumán

Shots 17.0 · On target 6.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours CA Aldosivi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Aldosivi Atlético Tucumán

Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 7.3 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Atlético Tucumán has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Aldosivi Atlético Tucumán

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Aldosivi ↑ +0.12 (+3.8%)

Atlético Tucumán ↓ 0.00 (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.