Sporting Cristal Reserves vs Alianza Lima Reserves

06 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Sporting Cristal Reserves

Alianza Lima Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.5% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 22.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.7% 1.95 DRAW 27.9% 3.40 AWAY 23.4% 4.06

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Sporting Cristal Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sporting Cristal Reserves Alianza Lima Reserves

Shots 11.8 · On target 6.5 Shots 13.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sporting Cristal Reserves Alianza Lima Reserves

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sporting Cristal Reserves Alianza Lima Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sporting Cristal Reserves ↑ +0.17 (+9.6%)

Alianza Lima Reserves ↓ -0.12 (-2.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.