Libertad Asuncion Reserves vs Rubio Nu Reserves

07 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Libertad Asuncion Reserves

Rubio Nu Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 88.9% DRAW 7.1% AWAY 4.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 85.2% 1.09 DRAW 9.3% 10.00 AWAY 5.5% 17.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Libertad Asuncion Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 88.9% win probability, compared with 85.2% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Libertad Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Libertad Asuncion Reserves Rubio Nu Reserves

Shots 15.5 · On target 8.0 Shots 4.3 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Libertad Asuncion Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Libertad Asuncion Reserves Rubio Nu Reserves

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 6.3

Libertad Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Libertad Asuncion Reserves Rubio Nu Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Libertad Asuncion Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Libertad Asuncion Reserves = (0.0%)

Rubio Nu Reserves = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.