Sportivo Trinidense Reserves vs Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

07 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.3 pp

Sportivo Trinidense Reserves

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 17.3% DRAW 21.6% AWAY 61.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.9% 5.25 DRAW 22.4% 4.20 AWAY 59.8% 1.57

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sportivo Trinidense Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Trinidense Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Trinidense Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

Shots allowed 18.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Trinidense Reserves Olimpia Asuncion Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Olimpia Asuncion Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Sportivo Trinidense Reserves ↑ +1.90 (+46.3%)

Olimpia Asuncion Reserves = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.