Ponce FC vs PR San Juan

07 Sep 2026 · 02:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

Ponce FC

PR San Juan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 69.3% DRAW 16.0% AWAY 14.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 67.3% 1.36 DRAW 17.5% 5.25 AWAY 15.3% 6.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: PR San Juan

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ponce FC PR San Juan

Shots 6.8 · On target 3.8 Shots 11.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours PR San Juan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ponce FC PR San Juan

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 7.3

Ponce FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ponce FC PR San Juan

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ponce FC = (0.0%)

PR San Juan = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.