Old Road Jets vs Newtown United FC

07 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Old Road Jets

Newtown United FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 71.1% DRAW 15.1% AWAY 13.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 69.3% 1.33 DRAW 16.5% 5.60 AWAY 14.2% 6.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Old Road Jets

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Old Road Jets Newtown United FC

Shots 9.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 2.5 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours Old Road Jets, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Old Road Jets Newtown United FC

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 2.0

Newtown United FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Old Road Jets Newtown United FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Old Road Jets.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Old Road Jets = (0.0%)

Newtown United FC = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.