Chacarita Juniors U20 vs Almagro U20

07 Sep 2026 · 14:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Chacarita Juniors U20

Almagro U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.0% DRAW 21.4% AWAY 14.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.4% 1.44 DRAW 21.6% 4.30 AWAY 13.9% 6.67

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Chacarita Juniors U20

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Chacarita Juniors U20 Almagro U20

Shots 14.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Chacarita Juniors U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Chacarita Juniors U20 Almagro U20

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Almagro U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Chacarita Juniors U20 Almagro U20

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Chacarita Juniors U20 ↓ -0.06 (-3.7%)

Almagro U20 ↑ +1.25 (+23.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.