Cobresal vs Coquimbo Unido

12 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Cobresal

Coquimbo Unido

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.5% DRAW 27.8% AWAY 40.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 30.0% 3.25 DRAW 27.8% 3.50 AWAY 42.2% 2.31

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Cobresal

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cobresal Coquimbo Unido

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Cobresal, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cobresal Coquimbo Unido

Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 6.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 6.0

Coquimbo Unido has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cobresal Coquimbo Unido

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Cobresal ↑ +0.15 (+4.8%)

Coquimbo Unido ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.