Aparecida U20 vs Goiatuba U20

07 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.7 pp

Aparecida U20

Goiatuba U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 26.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 45.4% 2.00 DRAW 25.7% 3.54 AWAY 28.9% 3.14

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Aparecida U20 relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 49.1% win probability, compared with 45.4% implied by the market. The 3.7 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Aparecida U20

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aparecida U20 Goiatuba U20

Shots 12.8 · On target 7.5 Shots 2.5 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Aparecida U20, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aparecida U20 Goiatuba U20

Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Goiatuba U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aparecida U20 Goiatuba U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Aparecida U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Aparecida U20 = (0.0%)

Goiatuba U20 ↑ +0.14 (+4.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.