Defensores de Belgrano vs Deportivo Madryn

14 Sep 2026 · 20:30

OPPORTUNITY

Defensores de Belgrano

Deportivo Madryn

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.0% DRAW 33.7% AWAY 24.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.8% 2.23 DRAW 32.9% 2.90 AWAY 24.3% 3.92

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Deportivo Madryn

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Defensores de Belgrano Deportivo Madryn

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 10.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Madryn, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Defensores de Belgrano Deportivo Madryn

Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.5

Defensores de Belgrano has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Defensores de Belgrano Deportivo Madryn

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Defensores de Belgrano ↓ -0.22 (-9.0%)

Deportivo Madryn ↑ +0.35 (+9.8%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.