Kairat Almaty (W) vs Tomiris Turan (W)

07 Sep 2026 · 12:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Kairat Almaty (W)

Tomiris Turan (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.5% DRAW 18.1% AWAY 68.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 14.5% 7.06 DRAW 19.3% 5.31 AWAY 66.2% 1.55

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Tomiris Turan (W) has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Kairat Almaty (W) Tomiris Turan (W)

Shots 18.8 · On target 10.0 Shots 23.3 · On target 10.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Kairat Almaty (W) Tomiris Turan (W)

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 4.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Tomiris Turan (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Kairat Almaty (W) Tomiris Turan (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Tomiris Turan (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Kairat Almaty (W) ↑ +2.31 (+48.6%)

Tomiris Turan (W) = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.