Barcelona Guayaquil vs Delfin SC

14 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Barcelona Guayaquil

Delfin SC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 61.1% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 14.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.4% 1.57 DRAW 25.0% 3.80 AWAY 14.6% 6.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Barcelona Guayaquil

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Barcelona Guayaquil Delfin SC

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Barcelona Guayaquil, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Barcelona Guayaquil Delfin SC

Shots allowed 12.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0

Delfin SC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Barcelona Guayaquil Delfin SC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Barcelona Guayaquil ↑ +0.02 (+1.4%)

Delfin SC ↓ -0.31 (-5.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.