CD Choloma Reserves vs CD Platense Reserves

07 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

CD Choloma Reserves

CD Platense Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 13.4% DRAW 16.2% AWAY 70.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 12.7% 7.37 DRAW 16.8% 5.60 AWAY 70.5% 1.33

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CD Choloma Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Choloma Reserves CD Platense Reserves

Shots 11.8 · On target 5.3 Shots 7.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours CD Choloma Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Choloma Reserves CD Platense Reserves

Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 6.0 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.0

CD Platense Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Choloma Reserves CD Platense Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

CD Choloma Reserves ↑ +0.87 (+13.4%)

CD Platense Reserves ↓ -0.03 (-2.2%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.