CD Marathon Reserves vs Real Espana Reserves

07 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.0 pp

CD Marathon Reserves

Real Espana Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.3% DRAW 21.8% AWAY 43.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 35.2% 2.90 DRAW 22.9% 4.46 AWAY 42.0% 2.43

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Real Espana Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

CD Marathon Reserves Real Espana Reserves

Shots 11.3 · On target 4.5 Shots 13.3 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CD Marathon Reserves Real Espana Reserves

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

Real Espana Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CD Marathon Reserves Real Espana Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Real Espana Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

CD Marathon Reserves ↑ +0.80 (+38.1%)

Real Espana Reserves ↓ -0.37 (-13.2%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.