Limavady United Reserves vs Ballymena Utd Reserves

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.2 pp

Limavady United Reserves

Ballymena Utd Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 64.7% DRAW 18.3% AWAY 17.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 68.1% 1.62 DRAW 18.1% 6.10 AWAY 13.8% 8.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ballymena Utd Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 17.0% win probability, compared with 13.8% implied by the market. The 3.2 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Ballymena Utd Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Limavady United Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.0 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours Ballymena Utd Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Limavady United Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves

Shots allowed 14.0 · On target allowed 9.0 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 6.5

Ballymena Utd Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Limavady United Reserves Ballymena Utd Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Ballymena Utd Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Limavady United Reserves ↓ -0.38 (-19.0%)

Ballymena Utd Reserves ↑ +6.10 (+234.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.