Linfield Reserves vs Portadown Reserves

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Linfield Reserves

Portadown Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 81.4% DRAW 11.6% AWAY 6.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 76.7% 1.20 DRAW 14.2% 6.50 AWAY 9.2% 10.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Linfield Reserves clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 81.4% win probability, compared with 76.7% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Linfield Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Linfield Reserves Portadown Reserves

Shots 21.0 · On target 11.3 Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Linfield Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Linfield Reserves Portadown Reserves

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Linfield Reserves Portadown Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Linfield Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Linfield Reserves = (0.0%)

Portadown Reserves ↑ +2.60 (+32.5%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.