Club Atletico Libertad vs Independiente del Valle

14 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.7 pp

Club Atletico Libertad

Independiente del Valle

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 24.1% DRAW 27.2% AWAY 48.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 23.4% 4.18 DRAW 27.1% 3.62 AWAY 49.5% 1.98

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Club Atletico Libertad Independiente del Valle

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.0 Shots 13.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Club Atletico Libertad Independiente del Valle

Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Club Atletico Libertad Independiente del Valle

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Club Atletico Libertad ↓ -0.55 (-12.7%)

Independiente del Valle ↑ +0.16 (+9.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.