Canberra Croatia FC vs Tigers FC

13 Sep 2026 · 11:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE AWAY +3.9 pp

Canberra Croatia FC

Tigers FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.4% DRAW 23.8% AWAY 36.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% 2.15 DRAW 24.5% 3.75 AWAY 32.9% 2.79

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Tigers FC relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.8% win probability, compared with 32.9% implied by the market. The 3.9 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Tigers FC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Canberra Croatia FC Tigers FC

Shots 15.0 · On target 6.8 Shots 24.0 · On target 12.0

Recent attacking output favours Tigers FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Canberra Croatia FC Tigers FC

Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Canberra Croatia FC Tigers FC

The combined recent performance profile favours Tigers FC.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Canberra Croatia FC ↓ -0.05 (-2.3%)

Tigers FC ↑ +0.07 (+2.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.