Karela United FC vs Hearts of Oak

26 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Karela United FC

Hearts of Oak

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 23.8% DRAW 25.5% AWAY 50.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.0% 4.10 DRAW 25.9% 3.80 AWAY 50.2% 1.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Hearts of Oak has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Karela United FC Hearts of Oak

Shots 5.5 · On target 1.8 Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Hearts of Oak, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Karela United FC Hearts of Oak

Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Karela United FC Hearts of Oak

The combined recent performance profile favours Hearts of Oak.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Karela United FC ↑ +1.80 (+78.3%)

Hearts of Oak ↓ -1.14 (-36.8%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.