Carrick Rangers Reserves vs Crusaders Reserves

07 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

Carrick Rangers Reserves

Crusaders Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 27.9% DRAW 19.6% AWAY 52.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.6% 3.70 DRAW 20.4% 4.66 AWAY 54.0% 1.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Carrick Rangers Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Carrick Rangers Reserves Crusaders Reserves

Shots 9.0 · On target 6.0 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Carrick Rangers Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Carrick Rangers Reserves Crusaders Reserves

Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 4.0

Crusaders Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Carrick Rangers Reserves Crusaders Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Carrick Rangers Reserves = (0.0%)

Crusaders Reserves ↑ +0.16 (+9.8%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.