FC Trostianets vs FC Chernigiv

17 Sep 2026 · 10:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.2 pp

FC Trostianets

FC Chernigiv

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 53.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 19.4% 4.81 DRAW 27.2% 3.42 AWAY 53.5% 1.74

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FC Chernigiv

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Trostianets FC Chernigiv

Shots 5.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours FC Chernigiv, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Trostianets FC Chernigiv

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Trostianets FC Chernigiv

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

FC Trostianets ↑ +0.99 (+25.8%)

FC Chernigiv ↓ -0.01 (-0.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.