Tianjin Jinmen Tigers vs Liaoning Ironman

12 Sep 2026 · 13:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Liaoning Ironman

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 50.3% DRAW 25.9% AWAY 23.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 48.9% 2.00 DRAW 26.4% 3.70 AWAY 24.7% 3.95

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers Liaoning Ironman

Shots 11.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers Liaoning Ironman

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 5.3

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers Liaoning Ironman

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers ↑ +0.04 (+2.1%)

Liaoning Ironman ↑ +0.10 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.