Olympiakos Nicosia vs Omonia 29is Maiou

13 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Olympiakos Nicosia

Omonia 29is Maiou

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.6% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 51.5% 1.84 DRAW 27.4% 3.46 AWAY 21.1% 4.49

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Olympiakos Nicosia

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Olympiakos Nicosia Omonia 29is Maiou

Shots 13.3 · On target 6.0 Shots 5.8 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Olympiakos Nicosia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Olympiakos Nicosia Omonia 29is Maiou

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 7.8 · On target allowed 3.8

Omonia 29is Maiou has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Olympiakos Nicosia Omonia 29is Maiou

The combined recent performance profile favours Olympiakos Nicosia.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Olympiakos Nicosia ↓ -0.31 (-14.4%)

Omonia 29is Maiou ↑ +1.24 (+38.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.